Here’s how to work through this. Let’s use a very conservative scenario with our $8,000 a month goal. I know what you’re thinking: $8,000 a month is a very small dream. It’s barely enough to live comfortably in many places. But even with this modest target, you’ll see why a 15 kg roaster makes sense.
Let’s say your profit is $5 per 12 oz (340 g) bag of roasted coffee. That’s conservative, especially if you’re selling wholesale or just starting out. Direct-to-consumer and retail can be much better, but we’ll stay conservative.
At $5 per 12 oz bag profit, you need to sell 1,600 bags of 12 oz bags per month to hit $8,000. That’s 400 bags of 12 oz bags per week, or about 300 pounds (136 kg) of roasted coffee per week.
Now here’s the important part: don’t forget roasting loss. You might lose about 20% of weight during roasting, depending on your roast degree. So to get 300 pounds (136 kg) of roasted coffee, you actually need to roast 375 pounds (170 kg) of green coffee per week.
Let’s say you roast Monday and Tuesday. You roast on those two days, then spend the rest of the week packaging, shipping, and doing all the important stuff like sales, marketing, customer relations, demos, and building the business. That’s about 190 pounds (86 kg) of green coffee per roast day, which produces 150 pounds (68 kg) of roasted coffee, or about 200 bags of 12 oz (340 g) coffee.
A 15 kg (33 lb) roaster running at capacity gives you about 26 pounds (12 kg) of roasted coffee per batch. To get 150 pounds (68 kg) of roasted coffee, you need about six batches per roast day.
Depending on your roast profiles, you can comfortably roast four batches per hour on a 15 kg roaster. Sometimes five if you’re efficient. Six batches means you’re done in about 90 minutes, maybe two hours. That’s a half day. You’re finished by mid-morning or early afternoon.
The rest of Monday and Tuesday is yours for packaging those 200 bags of 12 oz (340 g) coffee and prep. Wednesday through Sunday is for sales, customer visits, farmers markets, building relationships, and actually growing the business.
With a 5 kg (11 lb) roaster? You’d get about 9 pounds (4 kg) of roasted coffee per batch. You’d need about 17 batches per roast day just to hit your conservative $8,000 a month goal. Even at four batches per hour, that’s over four hours of continuous roasting. That’s not a half day. That’s a full exhausting day, and you’d be doing it four or five days a week just to keep up.
Here’s the other critical piece: designing your business for two roast days per week instead of five doesn’t just give you time for other business activities. It gives you plenty of space to grow into. When that good customer shows up, when demand increases, when opportunity knocks, you have room to respond. You can add a third roast day. You can run more batches on your existing days. You have capacity.
If you’re already roasting five days a week just to hit your baseline goal, you have nowhere to go. You’re maxed out. Growth becomes impossible without buying another roaster, and we’re back to the Urban House problem, except this time you might not have the cash to upgrade quickly.
Let’s look at what happens when you actually grow.
Say your business takes off and you’re ready to scale up. You hire people to help with roasting and packaging. You’re roasting five days a week, eight hours a day. What’s your maximum capacity?
With a 15 kg (33 lb) roaster at four batches per hour, eight hours a day, five days a week, you’re producing about 4,160 pounds (1,890 kg) of roasted coffee per month. That’s about 5,500 bags of 12 oz (340 g) coffee. At $5 profit per bag, you’re generating $27,500 per month. That’s real money. That’s a business that can support employees, reinvestment, and your life.
With a 5 kg (11 lb) roaster at the same pace—four batches per hour, eight hours a day, five days a week—you’re producing about 1,440 pounds (653 kg) of roasted coffee per month. That’s about 1,920 bags of 12 oz (340 g) coffee. At $5 profit per bag, you’re generating $9,600 per month.
Same amount of labor. Same amount of time. The 15 kg roaster produces nearly three times as much revenue as the 5 kg roaster.
Of course, at these volumes you need employees for packaging and roasting. But here’s what matters: the 15 kg roaster can actually support paying those employees and still generate meaningful profit. The 5 kg roaster barely clears enough to justify the labor costs.
This is just an example based on conservative numbers. You should do this exercise with your own numbers, your own profit margins, and your own growth plans. Maybe you want $12,000 a month. Maybe your profit per 12 oz bag is $8. Maybe you’re planning to sell 5-pound (2.3 kg) wholesale bags instead of 12 oz retail bags. Run your own numbers. Be honest about what you actually want your life to look like.
The roaster isn’t the business. The roaster is just the tool. The business is everything else, the sales, the relationships, the time to think and plan and respond to opportunities.
 Three times, I bought too small. Don’t do what I did. The roaster you choose is a bet on the life you’re building.